Appendix 2. Assumed market penetration of US and Russian government surplus inventories, Energy Information Administration's reference, lower HEU feed and upper HEU feed cases
(thousand tU equivalent)
 Reference 
 case		  1997  1998  1999  2000  2001  2002  2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  Total 
Russian HEU 1.5 3.1 4.6 7.7 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 109.2
Russian HEU: pre-1997 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
Total Russian HEU feed 2.6 4.5 4.9 7.7 9.2 10.4 10.4 9.7 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 114.7
US HEU transfer:13.2 t 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
US HEU transfer: 50 t 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
US HEU: 40 t "off-spec" 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 5.8
Total US HEU feed 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 13.6
US UF6 transfer 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
US LEU & natural UF6 sales 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3
Total US natural U & LEU 0.4 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
Total government inventories 3.0 7.4 7.9 10.8 12.9 13.6 13.5 12.1 11.1 11.1 11.0 9.8 9.8 9.8 143.6
 Lower HEU
 feed case		 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total 
Russian HEU 1.5 3.1 4.6 7.7 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 7.7 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 95.4
Russian HEU: pre-1997 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
Total Russian HEU feed 2.6 4.5 4.9 7.7 9.2 10.4 10.4 9.7 9.2 7.7 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 100.9
US HEU transfer: 13.2 t 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
US HEU transfer: 50 t 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
US HEU: 40 t "off-spec" 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 5.8
Total US HEU feed 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 13.6
US UF6 transfer 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
US LEU & natural UF6 sales 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3
Total US natural U and LEU 0.4 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
Total government inventories 3.0 7.4 7.9 10.8 12.9 13.6 13.5 12.1 11.1 9.5 7.9 6.7 6.7 6.7 129.8
 Upper HEU
 feed case		 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total 
Russian HEU 1.5 3.1 4.6 7.7 9.2 10.0 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 122.3
Russian HEU: pre-1997 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
Total Russian HEU feed 2.6 4.5 4.9 7.7 9.2 11.2 11.9 11.2 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 127.8
US HEU transfer: 13.2 t 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
US HEU transfer: 50 t 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
US HEU: 40 t "off-spec" 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 5.8
Total US HEU feed 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 13.6
US UF6 transfer 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
US LEU & natural UF6 sales 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3
Total US natural U and LEU 0.4 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
Total government inventories 3.0 7.4 7.9 10.8 12.9 14.3 15.0 13.6 12.6 12.6 12.5 11.3 11.3 11.3 156.7
NOTE: Totals may not equal sum of components because of independent rounding.

The Effects of US and Russian Government Surplus Inventories:
William N. Szymanski

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