Table 1: Input Parameters (2000) and Extrapolations (2010)

Parameter (Units)

Initial Value
(2000)

m.a.g.r.
(%/year)

Prior*
Value
(2010)

Current
Value
(2010)

Population (10⁹)

6.06

1.30

6.94

6.89

Ownership (VpC)

• Light Vehicles

0.079; max: 0.10

& 0.62

0.10

0.078

• Heavy Vehicles

0.034; max: 0.06

2.99

0.05

0.038

• Fleet

0.113

0.15

0.116

Fleet Size (10⁶)

• Light Vehicles

478

1.16

555

537

• Heavy Vehicles

206

2.48

347

264

• Fleet

684

902

801

Travel Distance (10¹² VKT)

• Light Vehicles

7.38

0.57

8.08

7.81

• Heavy Vehicles

1.78

1.30

2.03

• Fleet

9.16

10.25

9.84

Fuel Economy (km/U.S.gal)

• Light Vehicles

38.8

& 0.34

37.5

• Heavy Vehicles

11.8

1.16

13.3

• Fleet

32.5

Fuel Consumption

• Gasoline (10⁹ gal)

825

361

Electricity

• Energy Demand (PWh)

15.35

2.76

19.27

20.23

• Installed Capacity (TW)

3.40

2.09

4.04

4.19